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Roa W vs Aalesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Roa W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Aalesund W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-115.0%0-214.4%0-39.3%0-4+7.0%1 1-04.9%1-19.4%1-29.1%1-35.8%1-4+4.4%2 2-01.5%2-12.9%2-22.8%2-31.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.5% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 63.3% — — —

Over 2.5 47.6% — — —

Over 3.5 25.4% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 13.1% — — —

Away O1.5 57.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob48.6%

A 63% / xG 0.6-1.9 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.4%

#2 0–1 15.0%

#3 1–1 9.4%

#4 0–3 9.3%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Roa W0.6

Aalesund W1.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ROA W · PPG 0.33

AALESUND W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Roa W (H) 13.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalesund W (A) 63.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Roa W face Aalesund W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roa W a 14% chance, the draw 23% and Aalesund W 63%, so Aalesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Roa W and 1.9 for Aalesund W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roa W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Aalesund W. This match finished 2-3.

Roa W vs Aalesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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