Today / Norway - Toppserien / Molde W vs Rosenborg W

Molde W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Molde W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Rosenborg W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-114.7%0-211.3%0-35.8%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.8%1-111.9%1-29.1%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.2%2-14.8%2-23.7%2-31.9%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.9%3-11.3%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 47.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.9% — — —

Over 3.5 21.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 19.6% — — —

Away O1.5 45.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob49.2%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 14.7%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 0–2 11.3%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde W0.8

Rosenborg W1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE W · PPG 1.00

ROSENBORG W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Molde W (H) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rosenborg W (A) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde W face Rosenborg W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde W a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Rosenborg W 47%, so Rosenborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Molde W and 1.5 for Rosenborg W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Rosenborg W. This match finished 2-3.

Molde W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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