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LSK Kvinner W vs Honefoss W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

LSK Kvinner W

PPG 0.75 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Honefoss W

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-12.8%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.5%1-17.2%1-23.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.7%2-19.3%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-18.0%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.0%4+-19.6%4+-24.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.8% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 17.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 72.9% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 61% / xG 2.6-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.4%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LSK Kvinner W2.6

Honefoss W1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LSK KVINNER W · PPG 0.75

HONEFOSS W · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

LSK Kvinner W (H) 60.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honefoss W (A) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LSK Kvinner W face Honefoss W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LSK Kvinner W a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Honefoss W 18%, so LSK Kvinner W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for LSK Kvinner W and 1.0 for Honefoss W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LSK Kvinner W are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Honefoss W. This match finished 3-2.

LSK Kvinner W vs Honefoss W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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