Today / Norway - Toppserien / Brann W vs Lyn W

Brann W vs Lyn W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Brann W logo
Brann W
PPG 2.50 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
Lyn W logo
Lyn W
PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.3%0-110.6%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.9%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-16.6%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.5%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.7% 87.0% 1.15 -46.3%
Draw 32.4% 16.7% 6.00 +94.4%
Away win 20.9% 6.7% 15.00 +128.1%
Over 2.5 35.0% 69.4% 1.44 -49.6%
Over 3.5 9.3% 47.6% 2.10 -48.3%
BTTS 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%
Home O1.5 30.8% 82.0% 1.22 -62.4%
Away O1.5 11.5% 13.9% 7.20 -10.3%

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 27%
ROI -48.0%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 47% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.3%
#2 1–0 20.5%
#3 1–1 11.9%
#4 2–0 11.4%
#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brann W1.1
Lyn W0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRANN W · PPG 2.50

LYN W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Brann W (H) 46.7%
ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -46.3%
Draw 32.4%
ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +94.4%
Lyn W (A) 20.9%
ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +128.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brann W face Lyn W in Norway - Toppserien on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brann W a 47% chance, the draw 32% and Lyn W 21%, so Brann W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Brann W and 0.6 for Lyn W (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brann W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Lyn W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +128.1%. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

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