Today / Kuwait - Premier League / Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 17:25

Al Tadhamon

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Qadsia

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.6% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-114.1%0-211.7%0-36.5%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.8%1-111.3%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-02.7%2-14.5%2-23.8%2-32.1%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.7%3-11.2%3-21.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.4% 13.3% 7.50 +13.8%

Draw 27.0% 24.4% 4.10 +6.4%

Away win 56.6% 71.4% 1.40 -20.8%

Over 2.5 47.6% 57.1% 1.75 -16.7%

Over 3.5 23.6% 34.7% 2.88 -19.2%

BTTS 50.4% 52.6% 1.90 -4.2%

Home O1.5 19.2% 21.1% 4.75 -5.3%

Away O1.5 49.6% 65.4% 1.53 -24.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -31.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob50.4%

A 57% / xG 0.8-1.7 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 0–1✓ 14.1%

#3 0–2 11.7%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Tadhamon0.8

Al Qadsia1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TADHAMON · PPG 1.00

AL QADSIA · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Al Tadhamon (H) 16.4%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +13.8%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +6.4%

Al Qadsia (A) 56.6%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Tadhamon face Al Qadsia in Kuwait - Premier League on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Tadhamon a 16% chance, the draw 27% and Al Qadsia 57%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Al Tadhamon and 1.7 for Al Qadsia (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Tadhamon are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Al Qadsia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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