Today / Evesham United vs Gosport Borough

Evesham United vs Gosport Borough Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Evesham United

PPG 1.55 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Gosport Borough

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.55), Away AVERAGE (1.26)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.5%0-24.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.2%1-110.7%1-28.0%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.8%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.2%3-14.8%3-23.6%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.4% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 38.1% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.4%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 7.2%

#5 0–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Evesham United1.6

Gosport Borough1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EVESHAM UNITED · PPG 1.55

GOSPORT BOROUGH · PPG 1.26

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.55), Away AVERAGE (1.26)

Win probability 1X2

Evesham United (H) 41.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gosport Borough (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Evesham United face Gosport Borough on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Evesham United a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Gosport Borough 35%, so Evesham United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Evesham United and 1.5 for Gosport Borough (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Evesham United are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.26 for Gosport Borough. This match finished 1-3.

Evesham United vs Gosport Borough Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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