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Brattvag vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Brattvag

PPG 3.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Notodden

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-17.5%0-23.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.2%1-111.9%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.4%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.5%3-15.0%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 67.6% 1.48 -24.7%

Draw 25.1% 25.0% 4.00 +0.2%

Away win 24.0% 18.2% 5.50 +19.2%

Over 2.5 47.6% 64.5% 1.55 -26.2%

Over 3.5 23.9% 42.6% 2.35 -26.3%

BTTS 51.6% 62.5% 1.60 -17.4%

Home O1.5 46.9% 69.0% 1.45 -32.0%

Away O1.5 22.9% 31.3% 3.20 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-0.9 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 13.2%

#3 2–0✓ 10.4%

#4 0–0 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brattvag1.6

Notodden0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRATTVAG · PPG 3.00

NOTODDEN · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Brattvag (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -24.7%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +0.2%

Notodden (A) 24.0%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brattvag face Notodden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brattvag a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Notodden 24%, so Brattvag are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brattvag and 0.9 for Notodden (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brattvag are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Notodden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Brattvag vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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