← Back to picks

Worcester City vs St. Ives Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 41 Sixways Stadium· Worcester, Worcestershire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Worcester City logo Worcester City PPG 1.53
2-2 MISS
St. Ives Town logo St. Ives Town PPG 0.75
Home· +6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Worcester City face St. Ives Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Worcester City a 66% chance, the draw 21% and St. Ives Town 14%, so Worcester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Worcester City and 0.8 for St. Ives Town (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Worcester City are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.75 for St. Ives Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.7%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +6.4%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -10.4%
Away 13.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -48.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.9% Odds: 1.62 -17.5%
Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: —
BTTS 45.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Worcester City
1.96
St. Ives Town
0.75

Model Suggestion

Home +6.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.75)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org