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Redditch United vs Halesowen Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Matchday 6 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 14:00

Redditch United

PPG 1.49 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Halesowen Town

PPG 1.39 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-19.5%0-25.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.4%1-112.7%1-27.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.9%2-18.4%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.1%3-13.7%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 45.5% 2.20 -15.3%

Draw 26.0% 34.5% 2.90 -14.8%

Away win 35.4% 33.3% 3.00 +6.2%

Over 2.5 50.6% 55.6% 1.80 -8.9%

Over 3.5 29.0% 34.7% 2.88 -9.9%

BTTS 53.2% 60.6% 1.65 -12.2%

Home O1.5 38.9% 48.3% 2.07 -19.5%

Away O1.5 36.8% 38.9% 2.57 -5.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.2%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 1–2 7.7%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redditch United1.3

Halesowen Town1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

REDDITCH UNITED · PPG 1.49

HALESOWEN TOWN · PPG 1.39

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Redditch United (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -15.3%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -14.8%

Halesowen Town (A) 35.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Redditch United face Halesowen Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redditch United a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Halesowen Town 35%, so Redditch United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Redditch United and 1.2 for Halesowen Town (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redditch United are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.39 for Halesowen Town. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Redditch United vs Halesowen Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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