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Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 41 The Arden Garages Stadium· Stratford-upon-Avon, Warwickshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Stratford Town logo Stratford Town PPG 1.85
1-2 MISS
Bromsgrove logo Bromsgrove PPG 0.86
Home· +23.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stratford Town face Bromsgrove in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stratford Town a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Bromsgrove 18%, so Stratford Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Stratford Town and 1.0 for Bromsgrove (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stratford Town are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 0.86 for Bromsgrove. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +23.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.8%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +23.6%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -28.6%
Away 17.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -45.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.3% Odds: 1.75 +5.5%
Over 3.5 38.0% Odds: —
BTTS 56.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Stratford Town
2.09
Bromsgrove
1.03

Model Suggestion

Home +23.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -10.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.85) vs P(Home)=61.8%

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