Quorn vs Needham Market Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Regular Season - 41 Farley Way Stadium· Quorn, Leicestershire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Quorn PPG 1.60

2-2 HIT CS4

Needham Market PPG 1.30

Home· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Quorn face Needham Market in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quorn a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Needham Market 34%, so Quorn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Quorn and 1.5 for Needham Market (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quorn are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.30 for Needham Market. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%

Odds: 2.45 EV: +6.1%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -14.9%

Away 33.7%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -22.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.2% Odds: 1.57 -0.8%

Over 3.5 41.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 64.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Quorn

1.74

Needham Market

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -10.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away AVERAGE (1.30)