Today / Kettering Town vs Halesowen Town

Kettering Town vs Halesowen Town Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Kettering Town

PPG 1.90 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Halesowen Town

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.8%0-23.1%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.0%1-18.1%1-26.5%1-33.5%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.8%3-16.2%3-25.0%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.4%4+-24.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 72.5% — — —

Over 3.5 51.9% — — —

BTTS 70.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob70.8%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 1–1 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kettering Town2.1

Halesowen Town1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.5% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KETTERING TOWN · PPG 1.90

HALESOWEN TOWN · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.90) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Kettering Town (H) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Halesowen Town (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kettering Town face Halesowen Town on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kettering Town a 50% chance, the draw 21% and Halesowen Town 29%, so Kettering Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kettering Town and 1.6 for Halesowen Town (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kettering Town are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.35 for Halesowen Town. This match finished 0-0.

Kettering Town vs Halesowen Town Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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