Today / Radnicki Nis vs S. Subotica

Radnicki Nis vs S. Subotica Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Radnicki Nis

PPG 1.76 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

S. Subotica

PPG 0.61 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.1%0-22.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.7%1-110.9%1-25.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.5%2-19.8%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.3%3-15.9%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-14.0%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 29.4% — — —

BTTS 52.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.0%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1✓ 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki Nis1.8

S. Subotica0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI NIS · PPG 1.76

S. SUBOTICA · PPG 0.61

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.76) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki Nis (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Subotica (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki Nis face S. Subotica on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki Nis a 53% chance, the draw 25% and S. Subotica 22%, so Radnicki Nis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Radnicki Nis and 0.9 for S. Subotica (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki Nis are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 0.61 for S. Subotica. This match finished 2-1.

Radnicki Nis vs S. Subotica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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