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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 Lambert Park· Sydney Sunday, May 24, 2026 05:00
APIA Leichhardt logo APIA Leichhardt PPG 3.00
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Marconi S. logo Marconi S. PPG 2.27
Over3.5· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.6%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -10.3%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -7.0%
Away 37.8%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -5.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.65 +1.3%
Over 3.5 39.4% Odds: 2.60 +2.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

APIA Leichhardt
1.53
Marconi S.
1.66

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +1.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+2.4%)

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.27)

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