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Rockdale vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 05:00

Rockdale

PPG 1.88 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

WS Wanderers B

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.1%0-24.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.8%1-19.4%1-27.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.3%3-15.3%3-24.3%3-32.3%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.7%4+-23.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 57.8% 1.73 -25.1%

Draw 23.5% 26.0% 3.85 -5.7%

Away win 33.1% 26.3% 3.80 +25.8%

Over 2.5 63.9% 69.4% 1.44 -8.0%

Over 3.5 45.4% 48.8% 2.05 -6.9%

BTTS 62.0% 70.4% 1.42 -12.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.0%

H 43% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 2–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale1.8

WS Wanderers B1.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE · PPG 1.88

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale (H) 43.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -25.1%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -5.7%

WS Wanderers B (A) 33.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +25.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale face WS Wanderers B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale a 43% chance, the draw 24% and WS Wanderers B 33%, so Rockdale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rockdale and 1.6 for WS Wanderers B (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.50 for WS Wanderers B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.8%. This match finished 0-5.

Rockdale vs WS Wanderers B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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