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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 Landen Stadium· Sydney Sunday, May 24, 2026 05:00
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 1.00
0-2 MISS
Sydney Olympic logo Sydney Olympic PPG 0.43
Over3.5· +5.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -13.9%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -5.0%
Away 24.5%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +1.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.48 -5.4%
Over 3.5 47.9% Odds: 2.20 +5.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Blacktown City
2.30
Sydney Olympic
1.27

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.43)

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