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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 16 WIN Stadium· Wollongong Sunday, May 24, 2026 05:00
Wollongong W. logo Wollongong W. PPG 1.83
2-0 HIT CS4
S George Saints logo S George Saints PPG 0.88
Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.6%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +5.8%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -4.3%
Away 21.5%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -20.0%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%
Over 3.5 18.2% Odds: 2.75 -30.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.57 -23.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Wollongong W.
1.45
S George Saints
0.76

Model Suggestion

Home +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=51.6%

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