Today / Harborough Town vs B. Stortford

Harborough Town vs B. Stortford Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Harborough Town

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

B. Stortford

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-12.9%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.2%1-17.1%1-22.2%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-18.7%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.2%3-17.1%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.4%4+-17.9%4+-22.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.5% — — —

Draw 14.9% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 42.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.9%

H 78% / xG 2.5-0.6 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 3–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harborough Town2.5

B. Stortford0.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HARBOROUGH TOWN · PPG 2.40

B. STORTFORD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Harborough Town (H) 77.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

B. Stortford (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harborough Town face B. Stortford on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harborough Town a 78% chance, the draw 15% and B. Stortford 8%, so Harborough Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Harborough Town and 0.6 for B. Stortford (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harborough Town are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for B. Stortford. This match finished 1-1.

Harborough Town vs B. Stortford Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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