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Banbury Utd vs Redditch Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Banbury Utd

PPG 1.90 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Redditch Utd

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.90) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.7%0-25.7%0-32.5%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.4%1-112.2%1-28.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-18.6%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.1%3-14.0%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% 38.2% 2.62 +3.2%

Draw 25.7% 26.7% 3.75 -3.6%

Away win 34.9% 46.5% 2.15 -25.0%

Over 2.5 50.8% 57.1% 1.75 -11.1%

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 54.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -14.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.9%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 9.4%

#3 0–1 8.7%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banbury Utd1.4

Redditch Utd1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BANBURY UTD · PPG 1.90

REDDITCH UTD · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.90) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Banbury Utd (H) 39.4%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +3.2%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -3.6%

Redditch Utd (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -25.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banbury Utd face Redditch Utd in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banbury Utd a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Redditch Utd 35%, so Banbury Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Banbury Utd and 1.3 for Redditch Utd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banbury Utd are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.25 for Redditch Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Banbury Utd vs Redditch Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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