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T. Odzaci vs Borac 1926 Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 38 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

T. Odzaci

PPG 1.22 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Borac 1926

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.3%0-25.8%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.7%1-113.0%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-18.3%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.1%3-13.5%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 48.8% 2.05 -16.4%

Draw 29.1% 31.3% 3.20 -4.1%

Away win 30.1% 31.3% 3.20 -3.7%

Over 2.5 47.3% 46.5% 2.15 +1.7%

Over 3.5 21.8% 27.0% 3.70 -11.6%

BTTS 51.6% 54.6% 1.83 -5.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Odzaci1.3

Borac 19261.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

T. ODZACI · PPG 1.22

BORAC 1926 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

T. Odzaci (H) 40.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -16.4%

Draw 29.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.1%

Borac 1926 (A) 30.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Odzaci face Borac 1926 in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Odzaci a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Borac 1926 30%, so T. Odzaci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for T. Odzaci and 1.1 for Borac 1926 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Odzaci are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.17 for Borac 1926. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.7%. This match finished 0-2.

T. Odzaci vs Borac 1926 Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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