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Dinamo Jug vs T. Odzaci Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 36 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Jug

PPG 1.94 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

T. Odzaci

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-111.2%0-24.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.2%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.5%2-17.6%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-13.0%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 55.6% 1.80 -21.3%

Draw 31.6% 31.3% 3.20 +1.1%

Away win 24.7% 24.4% 4.10 +0.8%

Over 2.5 36.0% 44.4% 2.25 -19.0%

Over 3.5 13.8% 24.7% 4.05 -26.5%

BTTS 48.1% 51.0% 1.96 -5.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.1%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Jug1.2

T. Odzaci0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO JUG · PPG 1.94

T. ODZACI · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Jug (H) 43.7%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -21.3%

Draw 31.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.1%

T. Odzaci (A) 24.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Jug face T. Odzaci in Serbia - Prva Liga on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Jug a 44% chance, the draw 32% and T. Odzaci 25%, so Dinamo Jug are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dinamo Jug and 0.8 for T. Odzaci (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Jug are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.47 for T. Odzaci. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Dinamo Jug vs T. Odzaci Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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