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Kabel Novi Sad vs Graficar Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 37 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Kabel Novi Sad

PPG 1.06 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Graficar

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-115.7%0-27.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.5%1-113.3%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.2%2-15.7%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% 40.0% 2.50 -16.3%

Draw 32.7% 34.5% 2.90 -5.2%

Away win 33.8% 38.2% 2.62 -11.4%

Over 2.5 35.0% 44.4% 2.25 -21.3%

Over 3.5 10.3% 24.1% 4.15 -34.4%

BTTS 47.0% 52.6% 1.90 -10.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.0%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 1–0 14.5%

#5 0–2✓ 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kabel Novi Sad0.8

Graficar0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KABEL NOVI SAD · PPG 1.06

GRAFICAR · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Kabel Novi Sad (H) 33.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -16.3%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -5.2%

Graficar (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kabel Novi Sad face Graficar in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kabel Novi Sad a 34% chance, the draw 33% and Graficar 34%, so Graficar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kabel Novi Sad and 0.9 for Graficar (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kabel Novi Sad are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.06 for Graficar. This match finished 0-2.

Kabel Novi Sad vs Graficar Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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