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Dubocica vs Kabel Novi Sad Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Serbia - Prva Liga logo Serbia flag Serbia - Prva Liga Relegation Group - 33 Monday, April 27, 2026 14:00
Dubocica logo Dubocica PPG 1.53
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Kabel Novi Sad logo Kabel Novi Sad PPG 1.13
Away· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dubocica face Kabel Novi Sad in Serbia - Prva Liga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dubocica a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Kabel Novi Sad 22%, so Dubocica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dubocica and 0.8 for Kabel Novi Sad (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dubocica are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.13 for Kabel Novi Sad. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%
Odds: 1.67 EV: -17.0%
Draw 28.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -8.8%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +3.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: —
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.91 +0.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Dubocica
1.76
Kabel Novi Sad
0.78

Model Suggestion

BTTS +0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 52%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -12.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org