Borac 1926 vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Serbia - Prva Liga Relegation Group - 33 Gradski stadion· Cacak Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

Borac 1926 PPG 1.56

0-2 MISS

Trajal Krusevac PPG 0.31

Away· +63.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Borac 1926 face Trajal Krusevac in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Borac 1926 a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Trajal Krusevac 22%, so Borac 1926 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Borac 1926 and 0.7 for Trajal Krusevac (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Borac 1926 are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.31 for Trajal Krusevac. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +63.5%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 1.38 EV: -31.4%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +11.2%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 7.50 EV: +63.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.05 +2.5%

Over 3.5 21.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Borac 1926

1.67

Trajal Krusevac

0.67

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+63.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=49.7%