Today / Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad
Smederevo vs Kabel Novi Sad Prediction
Sunday, May 24, 2026
// Model verdict
Home
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.74) > Away AVERAGE (1.32)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.8%
Form & verdict
SMEDEREVO · PPG 1.74
KABEL NOVI SAD · PPG 1.32
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.74) > Away AVERAGE (1.32)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Smederevo face Kabel Novi Sad on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Smederevo a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Kabel Novi Sad 24%, so Smederevo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Smederevo and 0.8 for Kabel Novi Sad (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Smederevo are averaging 1.74 points per game versus 1.32 for Kabel Novi Sad. This match finished 1-0.