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Graficar vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 38 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

Graficar

PPG 1.47 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Trajal Krusevac

PPG 0.42 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-110.6%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.1%1-112.8%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-17.7%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.1%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 24.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.5% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.6%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.2%

#2 1–0 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Graficar1.2

Trajal Krusevac0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GRAFICAR · PPG 1.47

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 0.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=47.5%

Win probability 1X2

Graficar (H) 47.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trajal Krusevac (A) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Graficar face Trajal Krusevac in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Graficar a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Trajal Krusevac 24%, so Graficar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Graficar and 0.7 for Trajal Krusevac (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Graficar are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.42 for Trajal Krusevac. This match finished 3-0.

Graficar vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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