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Dinamo Jug vs Dubocica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 38 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Jug

PPG 1.89 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dubocica

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=51.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-18.8%0-23.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.8%1-112.0%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-18.1%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.5%3-13.7%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.8% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.6%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.8%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 12.1%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Jug1.4

Dubocica0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO JUG · PPG 1.89

DUBOCICA · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=51.5%

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Jug (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dubocica (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Jug face Dubocica in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Jug a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Dubocica 21%, so Dinamo Jug are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Jug and 0.7 for Dubocica (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Jug are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.58 for Dubocica. This match finished 3-0.

Dinamo Jug vs Dubocica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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