Today / Serbia - Prva Liga / Borac 1926 vs Dinamo Jug

Borac 1926 vs Dinamo Jug Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 37 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 15:00

Borac 1926 logo
Borac 1926
PPG 1.56 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Dinamo Jug logo
Dinamo Jug
PPG 1.12 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.2%0-114.8%0-25.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.4%2-15.7%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.5%
Draw 35.3%
Away win 27.2%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Over 3.5 8.6%
BTTS 46.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -32.6%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.2%
#2 1–1 13.0%
#3 1–0 16.8%
#4 0–1 14.8%
#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Borac 19260.9
Dinamo Jug0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BORAC 1926 · PPG 1.56

DINAMO JUG · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Borac 1926 (H) 37.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 35.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Dinamo Jug (A) 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Borac 1926 face Dinamo Jug in Serbia - Prva Liga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Borac 1926 a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Dinamo Jug 27%, so Borac 1926 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Borac 1926 and 0.8 for Dinamo Jug (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Borac 1926 are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.12 for Dinamo Jug. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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