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Kabel Novi Sad vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 35 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

Kabel Novi Sad

PPG 0.94 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Trajal Krusevac

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-114.7%0-27.5%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.0%2-16.2%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.8%3-11.9%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.9% — — —

Draw 31.0% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.2% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 31% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.7%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kabel Novi Sad0.9

Trajal Krusevac1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KABEL NOVI SAD · PPG 0.94

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.94) > Away POOR (0.47)

Win probability 1X2

Kabel Novi Sad (H) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trajal Krusevac (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kabel Novi Sad face Trajal Krusevac in Serbia - Prva Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kabel Novi Sad a 34% chance, the draw 31% and Trajal Krusevac 35%, so Trajal Krusevac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kabel Novi Sad and 1.0 for Trajal Krusevac (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kabel Novi Sad are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 0.47 for Trajal Krusevac. This match finished 3-1.

Kabel Novi Sad vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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