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Jedinstvo U. vs Zemun Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Championship Group - 35 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Jedinstvo U.

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zemun

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-111.9%0-28.2%0-33.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.2%1-112.7%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.9%2-16.8%2-24.7%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.3% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.3%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 0–1 11.9%

#4 1–2 8.8%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo U.1.1

Zemun1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO U. · PPG 1.50

ZEMUN · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.63)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo U. (H) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zemun (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo U. face Zemun in Serbia - Prva Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo U. a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Zemun 41%, so Zemun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jedinstvo U. and 1.4 for Zemun (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo U. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.63 for Zemun. This match finished 1-3.

Jedinstvo U. vs Zemun Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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