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Warrington vs Workington Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 41 Cal.Delivery Stadium· Latchford, Warrington Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Warrington logo Warrington PPG 1.63
2-3 MISS
Workington logo Workington PPG 0.84
Home· +33.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Warrington face Workington in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Warrington a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Workington 22%, so Warrington are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Warrington and 0.9 for Workington (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Warrington are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.84 for Workington. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.8%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.5%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +33.8%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -19.4%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -48.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: —
BTTS 48.9% Odds: 1.73 -15.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Warrington
1.63
Workington
0.94

Model Suggestion

Home +33.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 0.4%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away POOR (0.84)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org