Today / Slask Wroclaw vs Grodzisk M.

Slask Wroclaw vs Grodzisk M. Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Slask Wroclaw
PPG 2.13 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Grodzisk M.
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.2%0-22.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.8%1-17.7%1-25.1%1-32.3%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.9%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.5%3-17.3%3-24.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-17.7%4+-25.1%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.4%
Draw 22.9%
Away win 24.7%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 51.0%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%
#2 1–1 7.7%
#3 3–1 7.3%
#4 2–0 6.9%
#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw2.4
Grodzisk M.1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW · PPG 2.13

GRODZISK M. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw (H) 52.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Grodzisk M. (A) 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw face Grodzisk M. on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Grodzisk M. 25%, so Slask Wroclaw are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Slask Wroclaw and 1.3 for Grodzisk M. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.00 for Grodzisk M.. This match finished 0-0.

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