Today / LKS Lodz vs Gornik Leczna
LKS Lodz vs Gornik Leczna Prediction
Sunday, May 24, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.6%
Form & verdict
LKS LODZ · PPG 1.88
GORNIK LECZNA · PPG 0.69
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=53.0%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
LKS Lodz face Gornik Leczna on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LKS Lodz a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Gornik Leczna 23%, so LKS Lodz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for LKS Lodz and 1.1 for Gornik Leczna (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LKS Lodz are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.69 for Gornik Leczna. This match finished 3-1.