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Rabotnicki vs Pelister Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Rabotnicki

PPG 1.14 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pelister

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-110.1%0-26.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.5%1-112.8%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.7%2-18.2%2-25.0%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.9%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 40.8% 2.45 -12.0%

Draw 30.9% 32.3% 3.10 -4.2%

Away win 33.2% 37.0% 2.70 -10.4%

Over 2.5 45.4% 46.5% 2.15 -2.4%

Over 3.5 24.1% 25.6% 3.90 -6.0%

BTTS 52.6% 54.6% 1.83 -3.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 1–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rabotnicki1.3

Pelister1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RABOTNICKI · PPG 1.14

PELISTER · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Rabotnicki (H) 35.9%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -12.0%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.2%

Pelister (A) 33.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rabotnicki face Pelister in Macedonia - First League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rabotnicki a 36% chance, the draw 31% and Pelister 33%, so Rabotnicki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rabotnicki and 1.2 for Pelister (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rabotnicki are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.93 for Pelister. This match finished 3-3.

Rabotnicki vs Pelister Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Macedonia - First League Predictions