Today / Brera Strumica vs Shkupi

Brera Strumica vs Shkupi Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Brera Strumica

PPG 1.00 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Shkupi

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.3%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.6%1-14.3%1-21.7%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.2%2-17.1%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.2%3-17.9%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-019.5%4+-115.1%4+-25.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 58.4% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.1%

H 71% / xG 3.3-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.2%

#2 2–0 9.2%

#3 4–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brera Strumica3.3

Shkupi0.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BRERA STRUMICA · PPG 1.00

SHKUPI · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Brera Strumica (H) 71.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shkupi (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brera Strumica face Shkupi on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brera Strumica a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Shkupi 9%, so Brera Strumica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Brera Strumica and 0.8 for Shkupi (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brera Strumica are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Shkupi. This match finished 6-0.

Brera Strumica vs Shkupi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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