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Falu BS vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:00

Falu BS

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Enskede

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.1% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.2%0-23.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.7%1-111.0%1-26.2%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.6%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.1%3-15.8%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 55.6% 1.80 -7.8%

Draw 24.7% 27.8% 3.60 -6.7%

Away win 24.1% 27.0% 3.70 -6.5%

Over 2.5 59.1% 60.6% 1.65 -2.5%

Over 3.5 33.3% 38.5% 2.60 -13.4%

BTTS 54.9% 63.7% 1.57 -13.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.9%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0✓ 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Falu BS1.8

Enskede1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FALU BS · PPG 2.00

ENSKEDE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Falu BS (H) 51.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -7.8%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.7%

Enskede (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Falu BS face Enskede in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Falu BS a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Enskede 24%, so Falu BS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Falu BS and 1.1 for Enskede (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Falu BS are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Enskede. This match finished 2-0.

Falu BS vs Enskede Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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