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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 13 Parnu Rannastaadion· Parnu Sunday, May 24, 2026 14:00
Vaprus logo Vaprus PPG 1.40
1-6 MISS
Levadia logo Levadia PPG 2.60
Home· +14.5% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.8%
Odds: 9.00 EV: +14.5%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +3.6%
Away 64.9%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -16.9%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.53 -2.2%
Over 3.5 47.6% Odds: 2.35 +11.9%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.85 +1.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-3
4th 1-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vaprus
0.92
Levadia
2.64

Model Suggestion

Away -16.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)

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