Today / Belarus - Premier League / Baranovichi vs Neman Grodno

Baranovichi vs Neman Grodno Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 13:00

Baranovichi

PPG 0.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Neman Grodno

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-121.4%0-215.3%0-37.3%0-4+3.6%1 1-07.1%1-110.1%1-27.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.7%2 2-01.7%2-12.4%2-21.7%2-30.8%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.3%3-10.4%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 58.5% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 12.5% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -16.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.2%

A 58% / xG 0.5-1.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 21.4%

#2 0–0 15.0%

#3 0–2 15.3%

#4 1–1 10.1%

#5 0–3 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baranovichi0.5

Neman Grodno1.4

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BARANOVICHI · PPG 0.33

NEMAN GRODNO · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Baranovichi (H) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neman Grodno (A) 58.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baranovichi face Neman Grodno in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baranovichi a 14% chance, the draw 27% and Neman Grodno 59%, so Neman Grodno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Baranovichi and 1.4 for Neman Grodno (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baranovichi are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Neman Grodno. This match finished 1-2.

Baranovichi vs Neman Grodno Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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