Today / England - Professional Development League / Sheffield U U21 vs Swansea U21

Sheffield U U21 vs Swansea U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season - 2 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 13:30

Sheffield U U21

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Swansea U21

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.3%0-22.8%0-32.2%0-4+2.2%1 1-02.2%1-15.3%1-26.2%1-34.9%1-4+5.0%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-27.0%2-35.5%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.9%3-14.5%3-25.3%3-34.1%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-14.3%4+-25.0%4+-34.0%4+-4+4.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 57.1% 1.75 -32.6%

Draw 19.2% 24.4% 4.10 -21.3%

Away win 42.4% 30.3% 3.30 +39.9%

Over 2.5 83.9% — — —

Over 3.5 67.7% 62.5% 1.60 +8.3%

BTTS 81.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob81.1%

A 42% / xG 2.3-2.4 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2✓ 7.0%

#2 1–2 6.2%

#3 2–1 5.9%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 3–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield U U212.3

Swansea U212.4

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.9% · O3.5 PROB 67.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD U U21 · PPG 2.00

SWANSEA U21 · PPG 1.54

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield U U21 (H) 38.5%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -32.6%

Draw 19.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -21.3%

Swansea U21 (A) 42.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +39.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield U U21 face Swansea U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield U U21 a 39% chance, the draw 19% and Swansea U21 42%, so Swansea U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sheffield U U21 and 2.4 for Swansea U21 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield U U21 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.54 for Swansea U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Sheffield U U21 vs Swansea U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Professional Development League Predictions