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Sheffield U U21 vs Swansea U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

England - Professional Development League logo England flag England - Professional Development League Regular Season - 2 Sheffield United Football Academy· Sheffield, South Yorkshire Tuesday, April 21, 2026 13:30
Sheffield U U21 logo Sheffield U U21 PPG 2.00
2-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Swansea U21 logo Swansea U21 PPG 1.54
Away· +39.9% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield U U21 face Swansea U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield U U21 a 39% chance, the draw 19% and Swansea U21 42%, so Swansea U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sheffield U U21 and 2.4 for Swansea U21 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield U U21 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.54 for Swansea U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +39.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.5%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -32.6%
Draw 19.2%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -21.3%
Away 42.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +39.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 83.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 67.7% Odds: 1.60 +8.3%
BTTS 81.1% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-3
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield U U21
2.25
Swansea U21
2.36

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.54)

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