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Cardiff C. U21 vs Hull City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season - 27 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 13:00

Cardiff C. U21

PPG 1.46 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hull City U21

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.5%0-23.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.9%1-18.6%1-27.5%1-34.4%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.0%3-15.2%3-24.6%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.9%4+-23.4%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% 61.7% 1.62 -31.5%

Draw 21.7% 23.8% 4.20 -8.9%

Away win 36.0% 25.0% 4.00 +44.0%

Over 2.5 70.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.9% — — —

BTTS 70.5% 73.5% 1.36 -4.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob70.5%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2✓ 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cardiff C. U211.9

Hull City U211.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CARDIFF C. U21 · PPG 1.46

HULL CITY U21 · PPG 1.08

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Cardiff C. U21 (H) 42.3%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -31.5%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -8.9%

Hull City U21 (A) 36.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +44.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cardiff C. U21 face Hull City U21 in England - Professional Development League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cardiff C. U21 a 42% chance, the draw 22% and Hull City U21 36%, so Cardiff C. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cardiff C. U21 and 1.8 for Hull City U21 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cardiff C. U21 are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.08 for Hull City U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Cardiff C. U21 vs Hull City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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