Sheffield W U21 vs Crewe A. U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

England - Professional Development League Regular Season - 20 Middlewood Training Ground· Sheffield, South Yorkshire Monday, April 20, 2026 11:00

Sheffield W U21 PPG 1.23

3-0 MISS

Crewe A. U21 PPG 0.77

Away· +51.0% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield W U21 face Crewe A. U21 in England - Professional Development League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield W U21 a 38% chance, the draw 18% and Crewe A. U21 44%, so Crewe A. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sheffield W U21 and 2.7 for Crewe A. U21 (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 86% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield W U21 are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.77 for Crewe A. U21. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +51.0%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.5%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -34.4%

Draw 18.1%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -27.6%

Away 44.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +51.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 89.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 76.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 85.5% Odds: 1.36 +16.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2 ✘

2nd 2-3 ✘

3rd 3-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield W U21

2.49

Crewe A. U21

2.69

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.77)