Today / Celtic W vs Partick T. W

Celtic W vs Partick T. W Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Celtic W
PPG 1.62 · HOME
5 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Partick T. W
PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.62), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.1%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.4%1-13.7%1-21.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.4%2-16.5%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.9%3-17.5%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-022.9%4+-115.8%4+-25.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 71.4%
Draw 20.5%
Away win 8.1%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 59.7%
BTTS 51.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-3
xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.6%

H 71% / xG 3.5-0.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 10.9%
#2 4–0 9.4%
#3 2–0 9.4%
#4 3–1 7.5%
#5 5–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Celtic W3.5
Partick T. W0.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CELTIC W · PPG 1.62

PARTICK T. W · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.62), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Celtic W (H) 71.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Partick T. W (A) 8.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Celtic W face Partick T. W on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celtic W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Partick T. W 8%, so Celtic W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Celtic W and 0.7 for Partick T. W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celtic W are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.69 for Partick T. W. This match finished 5-3.

PredictVantage

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