Today / Hammarby vs AIK

Hammarby vs AIK Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Hammarby

PPG 2.60 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

AIK

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-16.2%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.7%2-18.7%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.4%4+-110.9%4+-24.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.8% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 11.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 67% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 3–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hammarby2.8

AIK0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HAMMARBY · PPG 2.60

AIK · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hammarby (H) 66.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AIK (A) 11.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hammarby face AIK on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hammarby a 67% chance, the draw 22% and AIK 11%, so Hammarby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Hammarby and 0.8 for AIK (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hammarby are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.75 for AIK. This match finished 1-2.

Hammarby vs AIK Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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