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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 15 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium· Samtredia Sunday, May 24, 2026 12:00
Samtredia logo Samtredia PPG 1.57
0-3 MISS
Telavi logo Telavi PPG 0.71
Over2.5· +2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -2.4%
Draw 28.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.7%
Away 26.4%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -10.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 2.20 +2.7%
Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 3.80 -13.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.86 -4.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Samtredia
1.28
Telavi
1.03

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=45.4%

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