Today / Gainsborough vs Prescot Cables

Gainsborough vs Prescot Cables Prediction

Regular Season - 41 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Gainsborough logo
Gainsborough
PPG 1.63 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Prescot Cables logo
Prescot Cables
PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=63.1%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-16.4%0-21.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.1%1-110.3%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-18.4%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.9%3-14.5%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-12.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.1%
Draw 24.2%
Away win 12.8%
Over 2.5 37.4%
Over 3.5 17.9%
BTTS 34.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob34.8%

H 63% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.1%
#2 2–0 14.7%
#3 0–0 11.2%
#4 1–1 10.3%
#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gainsborough1.6
Prescot Cables0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GAINSBOROUGH · PPG 1.63

PRESCOT CABLES · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=63.1%

Win probability 1X2

Gainsborough (H) 63.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Prescot Cables (A) 12.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gainsborough face Prescot Cables on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gainsborough a 63% chance, the draw 24% and Prescot Cables 13%, so Gainsborough are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gainsborough and 0.6 for Prescot Cables (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gainsborough are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.53 for Prescot Cables. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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