Today / Zhejiang vs Liaoning Tieren

Zhejiang vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Zhejiang

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Liaoning Tieren

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=53.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-15.9%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.3%1-110.6%1-24.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.3%3-15.8%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.0%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhejiang1.8

Liaoning Tieren0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.71

LIAONING TIEREN · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=53.2%

Win probability 1X2

Zhejiang (H) 53.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Liaoning Tieren (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhejiang face Liaoning Tieren on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhejiang a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Liaoning Tieren 22%, so Zhejiang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Zhejiang and 0.8 for Liaoning Tieren (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhejiang are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.29 for Liaoning Tieren.

Zhejiang vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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