Today / S. Gongfu vs Meizhou Hakka

S. Gongfu vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

S. Gongfu

PPG 0.75 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Meizhou Hakka

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.2%0-113.9%0-25.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.8%1-112.9%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.3%2-16.0%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 35.5% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 8.6% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.2%

#2 1–0 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1✓ 13.9%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Gongfu0.9

Meizhou Hakka0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.6%

Form & verdict PPG

S. GONGFU · PPG 0.75

MEIZHOU HAKKA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

S. Gongfu (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meizhou Hakka (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Gongfu face Meizhou Hakka on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Gongfu a 38% chance, the draw 36% and Meizhou Hakka 26%, so S. Gongfu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for S. Gongfu and 0.7 for Meizhou Hakka (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Gongfu are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Meizhou Hakka. This match finished 0-1.

S. Gongfu vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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