Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.38 -11.8%
Over 3.5 55.4% Odds: 1.95 +8.0%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength CAUTION_HOME Caution: Away form (2.00) strong but model favors Home (P=46.3%)