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Ängby vs Bollstanas Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 11:00

Ängby

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bollstanas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.5%0-23.1%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-04.2%1-17.5%1-26.7%1-34.0%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.5%2-18.1%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.2%3-15.8%3-25.2%3-33.1%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-15.1%4+-24.6%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 2.50 +15.8%

Draw 23.0% 3.75 -8.3%

Away win 30.7% 2.30 -29.4%

Over 2.5 63.9% 1.38 -11.8%

Over 3.5 55.4% 1.95 +8.0%

BTTS 63.0% 1.33 -16.2%

Win probability 1X2

Ängby (H) 46.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +15.8%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -8.3%

Bollstanas (A) 30.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -29.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.8%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

H 46% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1✓ 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ängby2.1

Bollstanas1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ÄNGBY · PPG 1.33

BOLLSTANAS · PPG 2.00

⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength

70%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.00) strong but model favors Home (P=46.3%)

Match Preview & Prediction

Ängby face Bollstanas in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ängby a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Bollstanas 31%, so Ängby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ängby and 1.8 for Bollstanas (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ängby are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Bollstanas. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Ängby vs Bollstanas Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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