Today / OLS Oulu vs Jazz Pori

OLS Oulu vs Jazz Pori Prediction

Sunday, May 24, 2026

OLS Oulu

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Jazz Pori

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-13.1%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.5%1-17.6%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-19.3%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.4%3-17.6%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.3%4+-18.3%4+-23.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 15.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.8% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 62% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 3–0 9.4%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 1–1 7.6%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OLS Oulu2.4

Jazz Pori0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OLS OULU · PPG 3.00

JAZZ PORI · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

OLS Oulu (H) 62.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jazz Pori (A) 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

OLS Oulu face Jazz Pori on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OLS Oulu a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Jazz Pori 16%, so OLS Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for OLS Oulu and 0.8 for Jazz Pori (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OLS Oulu are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Jazz Pori. This match finished 1-2.

OLS Oulu vs Jazz Pori Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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